This Disruption Will Soon Hurt Restaurant Stocks

By Dan AmossPosted October 2, 2019

The restaurant industry has always been a competitive business. With the advent of food delivery apps, the competition has intensified. The net effect of the food delivery boom — once incremental sales fade — will be to significantly lower profit margins at the restaurant level. Lower margins along with weaker consumer spending on discretionary items will put immense pressure on restaurant stocks.

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Jim Rickards’ Crash Speculator

Dan Amoss

Dan Amoss, CFA, tracks aggressive accounting and other red flags that markets miss. He’s a student of the Austrian School of economics and Daily Reckoning fan since 2000. Agora Financial relies on Dan for macro market commentary as well as profitable plays like his 2008 call to readers to buy Lehman Bros. puts, which...

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Yes, Public Companies Can Still Go Bankrupt During QE

By Dan AmossPosted January 22, 2020

Many investors believe as long as the Fed is printing money through QE or repo lending, stocks are insulated and will remain bullish. But good fundamentals and consistent profits must happen for market gains to continue. Even though investor risk appetites are high even in credit markets, companies that are highly leveraged and burning through cash are still vulnerable to bankruptcy.

Treasury Market Indicator Signals Trouble for Stocks

By Dan AmossPosted February 5, 2020

One of the most powerful indicators of a recession looming is a yield curve inversion. As the yield curve continues to slope downward, the Fed will likely react by cutting short-term rates. This could bring another rise in stocks due to speculation, but deteriorating credit conditions could stall another rally.

Coronavirus Starts to Hit Tech Hardware Stocks

By Dan AmossPosted February 19, 2020

With the news that Apple Inc. has cut its revenue guidance due to the coronavirus outbreak, other tech hardware companies will suffer from both its supply chain and from lower demand for hard drives within China. This includes our latest play on Seagate Technology that has suffered unrelenting revenue declines in the past several years.

Zombie Bubble Phenomenon Reinflates AMC

By Dan AmossPosted May 26, 2021

AMC shares are moving higher from an intense desire by inexperienced traders to own a stock at prices that will require endlessly strong demand for the stock. Time-tested fundamental analysis indicates that AMC shares are practically worthless, but this latest buying spree is hurting our position. It’s the latest version of “zombie bubbles” that have occurred in 2020-21.

Stocks Finally React to Treasury Market Warning Despite Another Rate Cut

By Dan AmossPosted March 4, 2020

The Federal Reserve announced an emergency rate cut for the first time since the 2008 financial crisis. But, markets sold off in response. One reason could be the dramatic drop in Treasury yields that is spooking markets. This could be headwinds for commercial banking stocks going forward.

Warning: Investors Feel Bulletproof Yet Again

By Dan AmossPosted June 24, 2020

Investors feel bulletproof yet again, extremely confident that the bear market is over because “the Fed has their back.” But what ultimately “has the back” of bullish investors is the supply of new money that comes from other bullish investors. Yet that supply, which includes buying pressure from high-frequency trading, can turn on a dime once momentum shifts and prices can fall sharply as a result.