Millionaire Mentor Update: Day Trading Risks in a HOT Market
Dear Penny Stock Millionaire,
Questions about day trading risks come up often. There’s always risk involved with day trading. That’s why I trade so conservatively. But in a hot market, it’s easy to get sloppy with your risk management strategy.
So in this edition of the update, I’ll answer a few questions related to day trading risks. Then I’ll share five day trading risks to avoid in a hot market.
If you’ve seen my recent tweets, watchlists, and trades you know it’s been an insane market. Last week I had between 14 and 20 stocks on my watchlist every day.
Also, be better prepared for when the market is open. There are SO many plays right now it’s insane. Picture holiday trading — like Christmas or Thanksgiving. People stay home and trade and it creates more volatility.
With the lockdown and people losing their jobs, every day is holiday trading.
Let’s jump right in…
Trading Questions From Students
This week’s trading questions focus on day trading risk.
Let’s do this…
“Tim, it seems so easy right now. Is there a risk of developing bad habits in this hot market?”
Yes, of course. It’s called degenerate gambling.
I’ve had my moments in the past few weeks. It’s very easy to start taking trades you wouldn’t normally take. You gotta watch out for the greedy monster.
Let’s put it in perspective…
I’m making $5K to $10K per day lately. For example, on May 18 I made $9,163 in profits. On May 19 it was $6,747. For the week I averaged $6,039 per day. That’s WAY above average.
But I’m overtrading a little bit. The key is to understand…
Why Cutting Losses on Hot Penny Stocks Is SO Important
After I made that video, I traded Kronos Advanced Technologies Inc. (OTCPK: KNOS) again. I also traded SPO Global (OTCPK: SPOM). Both trades were late-day chases just because … I wanted more.
So you gotta watch out for the greedy monster. You have to try to take meticulous trades. You can still be speculative, but try not to chase. Especially late in the day. That’s when most of the plays have made their biggest percent gains recently.
“The new Breaking News feature on STT is awesome. Is there a risk of becoming too reliant on tools?”
There’s always day trading risk. The tools can just help you spot plays faster. In the video above, I mention the Microvision, Inc (NASDAQ: MVIS) trade. I literally made $2K because of the Breaking News chat feature on StocksToTrade.
I wouldn’t have taken that trade without the tool. Why? Because I would’ve gotten the news at the same time as everyone else. I wouldn’t have had the same opportunity.
Keep in mind, even though I made $2K … I sold too soon. There was actually the potential to make $4K given my position size. But at the same time, it was a speculative news play using the new tool. So I don’t mind taking half of the potential profits.
Using the Breaking News feature gave me the edge of being early. There’s so much opportunity — and the right tools can help you find it.
The Best New Tool in Years: StocksToTrade Breaking News
I’ve had a lot of questions about this new feature. StocksToTrade already has a regular news feed like every other stock screener. The benefit of the Breaking News chat is that it’s run by two highly skilled stock market pros.
Before I get to the five day trading risks to avoid in this hot market, let’s look at the…
Trade of the Week
Too many people, especially newbies, judge their good trades on how much they make. For me, I ask myself whether I stayed disciplined and stuck to my trade plan.
Let’s look at a trade I mention in the video above as an example.
Hoth Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOTH)
HOTH is yet another recent coronavirus play. On May 18, the company announced a licensing deal for a dermatitis treatment. The press release wasn’t specifically about coronavirus. But it mentioned a previously released joint development agreement for a COVID-19 vaccine.
A few things to keep in mind…
First, you should keep track of former runners. Anything that spiked recently can spike again with a news catalyst. Second, watch for press releases that mention ‘coronavirus’ or ‘COVID-19.’
Any positive news using those words can spike a stock.
Check out the HOTH six-month chart:
HOTH chart: 6-month, daily candle, coronavirus spiker — courtesy of StocksToTrade.com
As you can see from the chart, HOTH has spiked to over $7 three times in the past six months. Also, notice the failed one-day spikes. All the more reason to never hold and hope.
Now take a look at the HOTH intraday chart from May 19:
HOTH chart: May 19 intraday, 1-minute candle, failed breakout — courtesy of StocksToTrade.com
Based on recent spikes, I thought it could get into the $5s. That was my goal. As it turned out, there wasn’t much spike so I followed rule #1: cut losses quickly.
Even though the trade was a loss, it was a good trade. I was just totally wrong. So taking a small loss was the best-case scenario.
With that in mind, let’s wrap this edition of the update with…
5 Day Trading Risks to Avoid in This HOT Market
Day Trading Risk #1: Overtrading
Otherwise known as the greedy monster, overtrading is a HUGE day trading risk. Especially when there are so many plays.
Instead of taking lots of trades … be meticulous. Take trades that fit your strategy. May is already my best month in years. But I’m not trading new patterns. They’re the same patterns I’ve traded for 20+ years.
So be careful of taking trades just to get more. Read this important post on how to avoid overtrading.
Day Trading Risk #2: Chasing Big Percent Gainers
With so many stocks making their biggest moves late in the day it’s easy to chase. But if a stock is already up 100%, 200% — or even 500% like we’ve seen lately — you have to be careful.
That’s not to say you can’t be a little speculative. But you have to be careful. Modulate your position size to fit the risk. Remember, sometimes the best trade is no trade.
Day Trading Risk #3: Going for Home Runs
Hitting lots of singles adds up over time. I say this over and over again. In this hot market, going for home runs can be even more tempting. Even if a stock does go up 200% in a day, focus on taking 10% or 20%. If you get a little more (or a little less), that’s OK. Learn to play it safe…
… especially if you’re trading with a small account and/or new to trading.
Day Trading Risk #4: Judging Trades On Profit vs Loss
Again, it’s easy to slip into the caveman mentality of “win equals good trade, loss equals bad trade.”
Stop. Don’t judge trades on profit vs. loss. My top students and I take losses. Which is why in a hot market it’s still important to analyze your trades. Here are four questions to ask when you review your trades:
- Did you stay disciplined?
- Did you stick to your trading plan?
- What was the best-case scenario?
- How could you have done better?
Keep your answers in your trading journal.
Day Trading Risk #5: NOT Using the Best Tools
This one is counter-intuitive. Many people avoid investing in the best tools because they want to save money. Or think they can do it all themselves.
That’s a false economy. Especially when it comes to tools for traders. If you knew one good trade would pay for your subscription, would you invest in a tool? Too many people make this harder than necessary.
Take StocksToTrade for example. The built-in scans are all my favorites. The entire platform is designed to find the best penny stocks to trade.
So when I say “Use StocksToTrade” it’s because it’s designed for my strategies. And it works. Now with the Breaking News chat add-on, it’s even better.
Another example is choosing a broker. So many newbies want to trade using Robinhood because “it’s free…”
Sorry, I think Robinhood sucks. To me, the only good thing about Robinhood is all the morons using it. They make it easier for me and my students to profit. I trade using these brokers.
Bottom line: use the best tools. Even if you have to pay for them.
Millionaire Mentor Market Wrap
That’s another one in the books.
Get some rest and then spend an hour or so this evening to prepare for the coming week.
Remember, in this hot market it’s easy to overlook day trading risks. So be careful, stay safe, and trade like a sniper.
What do you think about day trading risks in this hot market? What are you doing to prepare?
Talk to you tomorrow,
Editor, Penny Stock Millionaires