The Solar Bubble Hits Resistance

By Dan AmossPosted February 17, 2021

Bubbles are characterized by greater and greater demand for a stock, without the justification of healthy growth from the underlying business. When fundamentals lag behind share prices, investors pay many times their earnings. Because sometimes bubbles can create unjustified gains longer than expected, we use carefully chosen options trades to bet against them.

You Must Be A Subscriber To View This Content.

If you are already a subscriber, click the login button below to get access. Not yet a subscriber? Checkout our publication below and get access today!

Jim Rickards’ Crash Speculator

Dan Amoss

Dan Amoss, CFA, tracks aggressive accounting and other red flags that markets miss. He’s a student of the Austrian School of economics and Daily Reckoning fan since 2000. Agora Financial relies on Dan for macro market commentary as well as profitable plays like his 2008 call to readers to buy Lehman Bros. puts, which...

View More By Dan Amoss

Pickier Bond Investors Spell Trouble for Stocks

By Dan AmossPosted August 21, 2019

One of the trends we watch at Crash Speculator is action in the corporate bond market, as it always senses trouble before the stock market does. Currently, junk bond yield spreads are rising while stocks remain popular. This divergence is a warning sign for stocks as it was before the last bear market in 2007–08.

Oversaturation of Food Delivery Apps Slams Grubhub

By Dan AmossPosted November 13, 2019

Food delivery apps are a form of restaurant sector disruption and have been highly popular with diners in recent years. However, oversaturation of these apps has led to intense competition and a stunning crash of Grubhub stock in late October. This overinvestment will result in consumers benefiting at the expense of the app companies and restaurants, which will continue putting pressure on their stock prices.

Early Warning from Micron is Bad News for Microchip

By Dan AmossPosted August 19, 2020

The semiconductor industry is experiencing hard times as Micron is experiencing high inventory levels due to the pandemic and a crash in consumer spending. That is a warning for Microchip Technology, which depends on consumer sales in hardware and business investment for most of its revenue.

Our Crash Monitor Signals Weakness Ahead for Stocks

By Dan AmossPosted June 12, 2019

After a decade of great returns, investors have been lulled into complacency. The reality is many stocks do not deserve the strong rallies they’ve enjoyed. But it often requires the onset of a recession for weak stocks to enter into a death spiral. Today, Dan discusses one indicator used to predict short-term market performance and downturns in stocks.

Why Target Stock Is Much Riskier Than It Appears

By Dan AmossPosted November 27, 2019

As we move into December, retail stocks are vulnerable to both holiday sales as well as scheduled tariffs to be implemented on consumer goods that will squeeze profit margins. This will put pressure on earnings and stock prices as a result.

Warning: Investors Feel Bulletproof Yet Again

By Dan AmossPosted June 24, 2020

Investors feel bulletproof yet again, extremely confident that the bear market is over because “the Fed has their back.” But what ultimately “has the back” of bullish investors is the supply of new money that comes from other bullish investors. Yet that supply, which includes buying pressure from high-frequency trading, can turn on a dime once momentum shifts and prices can fall sharply as a result.