Zombie Bubble Phenomenon Reinflates AMC

By Dan AmossPosted May 26, 2021

AMC shares are moving higher from an intense desire by inexperienced traders to own a stock at prices that will require endlessly strong demand for the stock. Time-tested fundamental analysis indicates that AMC shares are practically worthless, but this latest buying spree is hurting our position. It’s the latest version of “zombie bubbles” that have occurred in 2020-21.

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Jim Rickards’ Crash Speculator

Dan Amoss

Dan Amoss, CFA, tracks aggressive accounting and other red flags that markets miss. He’s a student of the Austrian School of economics and Daily Reckoning fan since 2000. Agora Financial relies on Dan for macro market commentary as well as profitable plays like his 2008 call to readers to buy Lehman Bros. puts, which...

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How Inflation Undermines Trust

By Dan AmossPosted February 16, 2022

Inflation will keep damaging the U.S. economy for a while longer by stealing income, savings, and time. Beyond these costs, inflation has an immeasurable subtle cost that many companies don’t factor into their long-term profitability goals. Dan discusses in today’s commentary.

What Will Ultimately End the Market Rally

By Dan AmossPosted January 8, 2020

The bull market has rolled on despite warning signals, including a global economic slowdown, lower corporate earnings and ongoing trade talk tensions with China. A primary reason for this involves Fed balance sheet policy, which has caused stocks to run ahead of their earnings potential and fundamentals. This has made many stocks vulnerable to a downturn in the coming year.

Paradigm Shift in Markets Could Favor Short Sellers

By Dan AmossPosted July 24, 2019

Investors expect the next round of Fed rate cuts next week will push Treasury bond yields even lower and stock prices even higher. But good returns are simply future returns being pulled forward by the “present value effect.” The danger is future earnings that are awarded a high present value often fall short of expectations during rate-cutting cycles.

American Airlines Is a Recession Away From Bankruptcy

By Dan AmossPosted July 10, 2019

Airline stocks appear to be morphing from solid investments into value traps. In particular, American Airline bulls assume the business is not as cyclical as it used to be, thanks to a more consolidated industry. But we already have plenty of evidence that the airline profit cycle is a few years past its peak and a recession will push American into financial distress.

A Shocking Example of Investor Complacency That Ended Badly

By Dan AmossPosted October 16, 2019

After a decade of pro-shareholder decisions from governments and regulators, political winds are shifting. Today, shareholders of distressed companies are feeling the pain of overvalued stocks that find themselves in legal jeopardy. There are many overvalued stocks in which investors are ignoring significant risks and should guard against complacency at their own peril.

Airlines Need Much More Capital

By Dan AmossPosted April 29, 2020

One sector of the market suffering heavy losses is the airline industry. When taxpayer-funded payroll assistance ends, airlines must tap new sources of capital from the private sector. The longer that demand for airline travel remains far below its peak, the more cash airlines will burn and the more capital it will need. The result will be a heavy cost to shareholders.