Dan AmossDan Amoss

Dan Amoss, CFA, tracks aggressive accounting and other red flags that markets miss. He’s a student of the Austrian School of economics and Daily Reckoning fan since 2000. Agora Financial relies on Dan for macro market commentary as well as profitable plays like his 2008 call to readers to buy Lehman Bros. puts, which gained 462% as the stock fell from $45 to $12. And he called American Airlines’ bankruptcy long before the Chapter 11 filing, telling readers to short the stock, which tanked from $6 to just 26 cents.

Formerly, he was investment adviser to one of the top small-cap mutual funds in the country. He grew up on a semi-working small farm that his great-grandfather bought in 1907, learning thrift and the value of hard work through generations. 

This informs his drive to seek truth and expose frauds and promotions that suck in investors. He cut his teeth in finance interviewing management teams in “roadshows” and so knows the kind of BS they sell.

His bottom-up investing style focuses on management strategy, return on capital and the truth (and lies) buried in financial statements.

Project Prophesy Portfolio Update

Market sentiment continues to be bullish and earnings expectations are again sky-high, so the setup is favorable for investors holding put options. This includes many in our portfolio. Also, several of our positions are vulnerable to an anticipated U.S.-China trade deal soon. For now, read on for Dan’s analysis on all our open recommendations…

New Prophesy Buy: Ride the Continuing Treasury Bull Market for 320% Gains

To paraphrase Mark Twain, reports on the death of the Treasury bond market have been greatly exaggerated. The historic bond market rally is still in place, both short term and long term. With strengthening disinflationary trends and a slowing global economy, Treasury bond yields are in a declining trend. Using our unique Prophesy indicator, Jim and Dan have identified the best way to profit in U.S. Treasuries, as the bond bull market has further room to run.

Dark Money Buy: Make 225% Gains While M&A Window Opens

As we settle into 2019, Wall Street is now unlocked a mergers and acquisition window of opportunity. For investors that follow the money, this window could mean big financial gains on Wall Street. Using our Dark Money Monitor, Nomi and Dan have uncovered a recommendation that could tap you into the M&A wave. Get their latest analysis on why this M&A window is flashing green.

Leading Indicator Flashes Yellow for Economy and Red for Stocks

With each economic cycle, the heavily indebted U.S. economy clearly has less tolerance for tight monetary policy, yield curve inversion and slowing money supply growth. We can expect more disappointing economic data in the months ahead. As Dan explains today, corporate profits are likely to get squeezed, which means that unless the Fed reverses its policy course in record time and switches to radical easing, most stocks are likely to fall.

The Rally In Gold:  Is It Real And Where Is It Going?

In this quarter's live intelligence briefing, Jim gives his insight on the current gold rally happening in the markets. With increasing headwinds in the stock market, gold prices have made gains as a result. But is it a sustained rally?  Jim discusses where gold prices could be headed in the coming months. Also, senior analyst Dan Amoss will join the call and gives his trade recommendations to take advantage of this favorable environment for gold.

New Prophesy Buy: Pocket 200% Gains on This Trade as Mexico’s Economy Falters

As Mexico welcomes a new president, there is trouble ahead for the Mexican economy. The combination of left-wing fiscal policies, drug wars and the excessive debt load of one of Mexico’s largest export revenue producers has brought increasing stress to the Mexican financial markets. Using our unique proprietary Prophesy indicator, Jim and Dan have identified the best way to profit as the declines in Mexico’s stock market and currency will accelerate in the months ahead.